The big day is finally here: Oscar Sunday! The year long awards derby will come to a merciful end by crowning winners for the 96th Academy Awards. With the industry declaring a best film, the Oscar Points race is all but sewn up. Now comes the fun part – which races will be decided by the Oscar. Here’s the races to watch:
● Lily Gladstone vs Emma Stone
● Paul Giamatti vs Cillian Murphy
● Visual Effects
● Makeup and Hairstyling
● Costumes
● Original Screenplay
The winners that have clinched already will be denoated by the star symbol (*). Oppenheimer clinched the overall race a month ago and currently sports a 259 point lead over second place. Over the summer, I will go back and retroactively add a few previous years to the Oscar Points system, but I suspect no film will come close to that margin of victory. And now, it’s setup to win many major awards on Oscar night.
Lastly, I want to talk about the system as a predictor. With this being the first Oscar night with the points system, it will be telling to see if the OP winners match up with the Academy’s winners. A number of categories won’t apply considering the Academy’s nomination system (see: documentary, international, and VFX). All those catgeories either have ineligible films at the top or one’s that simply missed a nomination. Either way, I suspect the system will be fairly accurate at predicting winners, as it’s supposed to actively reflect the season as a whole — not the taste of one group.
Anyways, this season has been tons of fun. It’s been long but worthwhile and thanks to everyone for the warm words and help on the point system. I will be returning in 2025 for round two. If you would like to reach out to me, find me on twitter.
In the meantime, read some of our literature:
Read my personal picks for 2023’s best here:
Points’ Key
● Oscars: 10 points
● BAFTA: 8 points
● Guilds: 6 points
– DGA, PGA, SAG, WGA
● Industry (Television): 5 points
– Golden Globes, Critics Choice, Indie Spirits
● Film Festival Circuit: 4 points
– Cannes, Venice, TIFF
● Major regional critics: 3 points
– LAFCA, NYFCC, Gotham
● Regional critics: 1 point
○ Best Picture Bonus Bonus: +1
○ Oscar Best Picture Bonus: +10
Each win for the major 20 categories (excluding songs), will count towards the running total, so winning at the Oscars A LOT is crucial to taking the top prize. The point system is a way for the entirety of the film community to have a say in which film truly deserves “Best Picture” at the end of Oscar night. It’s also to have more fun with the season as a whole. It’s important to remember these awards are purely for entertainment — not for yelling at pundits and anger.
A few links that Oscar fans need to follow:
● Next Best Picture’ award page
NPB and Awards Watch house all the winners and nominations. Check out those two sites for better coverage on the season.
Oscar Point Leaders (points)
1. Oppenheimer (422)*
2. The Holdovers (163)
3. Poor Things (152)
4. Barbie (126)
5. Killers of the Flower Moon (112)
6. Anatomy of a Fall (93)
7. Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse (82)
8. American Fivtion (67)
9. The Zone of Interest (54)
10. Past Lives (50)
11. Still: A Michael J. Fox Documentary (40)
12. The Boy and the Heron (37)
13. May December (25)
14. Maestro (21)
15. Saltburn (18)
16. 20 Days in Mariupol (14)
17. All of Us Strangers (13)
17. Godzilla: Minus One (13)
19. Are You There God? It’s Me, Margaret (12)
20. Robot Dreams (9)
21. Society of the Snow (8)
21. Four Daughters (8)
21. Menus-Plasiris — Les Troisgois (8)
24. Asteroid City (7)
24. The Creator (7)
26. How to Blow Up a Pipeline (6)
26. American Symphony (6)
26. 20 Days in Mariupol (6)
29. The The Taste of Things (5)
30. Fallen Leaves (4)
30. Io Capitano (4)
30.Napoleon (4)
30. John Wick: Chapter 4 (4)
30. Kokomo City (4)
30. Priscilla (4)
30. About Dry Grasses (4)
30. El Conde (4)
30. Monster (4)
30. Perfect Days (4)
30. The Yellow Coccoon Shell (4)
30. Passengers (4)
41. The Color Purple (3)
41. Bad Press (3)
41. Origins (3)
41. Rustin (3)
41. Mission Impossible: Dead Recknoning – Part One (3)
41. Nyad (3)
41. Close Your Eyes (3)
48. Ferrari (2)
48. Femme (2)
48. Smoke Suana Sisterhood (2)
48. The Kitchen (2)
48. Samsara (2)
53. Enys Men (1)
53. The Promised Land (1)
53. Geographies of Solitude (1)
53. The Eternal Memory (1)
53. Blackberry (1)
53. The Deepest Breath (1)
53. Guardians of the Galaxy: Volume 3 (1)
53. Anselm (1)
53. Nimona (1)
53. Afire (1)
53. Stamped From the Beginning (1)
53. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (1)
53. Foremost by Night (1)
53. The Mother of All Lies (1)
(66 total films)
Best Picture
1. Oppenheimer (79)*
2. Past Lives (28)
3. Killers of the Flower Moon (22)
4. Poor Things (17)
5. Barbie (10)
5. The Holdovers (10)
7. American Fiction (9)
8. Anatomy of a Fall (7)
9. The Zone of Interest (6)
10. The Boy and The Heron (2)
10. All of Us Strangers (2)
10. Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (2)
10. Close Your Eyes (2)
Director
1. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer (59)*
2. Celine Song, Past Lives (8)
2. Jonathon Glazer, The Zone of Interest (8)
2. Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon (8)
4. Matteo Garrone, Io Capitano (4)
4. Tran Anh Hùng, The Taste of Things (4)
6. Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things (3)
7. Greta Gerwig, Barbie (3_
8. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall (1)
8. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction (1)
8. Todd Haynes, May December (1)
8. Ava DuVernay, Origins (1)
8. Alexander Payne, The Holdovers (1)
8. Victor Erice, Close Your Eyes (1)
Screenplay
1. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall (14)*
2. Samy Burch, May December (8)
3. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction (7)
4. David Hemingson, The Holdovers (6)
5. Guillermo Calderon, Pablo Larrain, El Conde (4)
5. Yuji Sakamoto, Monster (4)
7. Tony McNamara, Poor Things (3)
7. Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers (3)
9. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer (2)
9. Celine Song, Past Lives (2)
11. Greta Gerwig, Noah Baumbach, Barbie (1)
Adapted
1. Cord Jefferson, American Fiction (29)*
2. Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer (10)
3. Tony McNamara, Poor Things (5)
4. Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon (4)
4. Kelly Freemon Craig, Are You There God? It’s Me Margeret (4)
6. Jonathon Glazer, Zone of Interest (1)
6. Andrew Haigh, All of Us Strangers (1)
Original
1. Greta Gerwig, Noah Baumbach, Barbie (12)
2. David Hemingson, The Holdovers (12)
3. Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall (9)
4. Celine Song, Past Lives (8)
5. Josh Singer, Bradley Cooper, Maestro (4)
6. Samy Burch, May December (1)
Lead Actor
1. Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer (41)
2. Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers (33)
3. Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction 10)
4. Andrew Scott, All of Us Strangers (5)
5. Peter Sarsgaard, Memory (4)
5. Franz Rogowski, Passengers (4)
5. Koji Yakusho, Perfect Days (4)
8. Bradley Cooper, Maestro (2)
8. Colman Domingo, Rustin (2)
10. Mads Mikkelsen, The Promised Land (1)
Lead Actress
1. Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon (46)
2. Emma Stone, Poor Things (41)
3. Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall (10)
4. Margot Robbie, Barbie (4)
4. Cailee Spaeny, Priscilla (4)
4. Merve Dizdar, About Dry Grasses (4)
7. Lily Gladstone, The Unknown Country (3)
8. Aunjanue Ellis-Taylor, Origins (2)
9. Greta Lee, Past Lives (1)
9. Annette Bening, Nyad (1)
Supporting Actor
1. Robert Downey Jr, Oppenheimer (41)*
2. Charles Melton, May December (16)
3. Ryan Gosling, Barbie (14)
4. Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things (8)
5. Sterling K. Brown, American Fiction (2)
6. Glenn Howerton, Blackberry (1)
6. Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers (1)
6. Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon (1)
6. Jamie Bell, All of Us Strangers (1)
Supporting Actress
1. Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers (81)*
2. Rachel McAdams, Are You There God? It’s Me Margaret (6)
3. Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple (2)
3. Jodie Foster, Nyad (2)
5. Julianne Moore, May December (1)
5. Vanessa Kirby, Napoleon (1)
5. Ana Torrent, Foremost by Night (1)
Cinematography
1. Hoyte Van Hoytema, Oppenheimer (52)*
2. Robbie Ryan, Poor Things (13)
3. Rodrigo Prieto, Killers of the Flower Moon (8)
4. Eigil Bryld, The Holdovers (5)
5. Thien An Pham, The Yellow Coccoon Shell (4)
6. Matthew Libatique, Maestro
6. Rodrigo Prieto, Barbie (3)
8. Jamie D. Ramsay, All of Us Strangers (1)
8. Jonathon Ricqueborg, The Taste of Things (1)
8. Dan Lausten, John Wick: Chapter 4 (1)
8. Erik Messerschmidt, Ferrari (1)
8. Mauro Herce, Samsara (1)
Editing
1. Jennifer Lame, Oppenheimer (37)*
2. Kevin Tent, The Holdovers (9)
Michael Andrews, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (7)
4. Michael Harte, STILL: A Michael J. Fox Story (6)
5. Laurent Senechal, Anatomy of a Fall (5)
5. Daniel Garber, How to Blow Up a Pipeline (5)
7. Nathan Orloff, John Wick: Chapter 4 (3)
8. Thelma Schoonmaker, Killers of the Flower Moon (2)
9. Jonathon Albers, All of Us Strangers (1)
Production Design
1. Sarah Greenwood, Barbie (38)*
2. Shona Heath, James Price, Poor Things (22)
3. Suzie Davies, Charlotte Dirickx, Saltburn (12)
4. Adam Stockhausen, Asteroid City (7)
5. Ruth De Jong, Oppenheimer (6)
5. Justin K. Thompson, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (6)
7. Nathan Parker, The Kitchen (1)
International
1. Anatomy of a Fall (46)*
2. The Zone of Interest (22)
3. Fallen Leaves (4)
3. Godzilla: Minus One (4)
5. The Boy and the Heron (1)
5. Afire (1)
5. Io Capitano (1)
Original Score
1. Ludwig Göransson, Oppenheimer (45)*
2. Robbie Robertson, The Killers of the Flower Moon (8)
3. John Powell, STILL: A Michael J. Fox Documentary (6)
4. Mica Levi, Zone of Interest (3)
4. Laura Karpman, American Fiction (3)
6. Joe Hisaishi, The Boy and the Heron (2)
7. Daniel Pemberton, Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse (1)
7. Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt, Barbie (1)
Animated Feature
1. Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse (53)*
2. The Boy and the Heron (31)
3. Robot Dreams (9)
4. Nimona (1)
Documentary
1. Still: A Michael J. Fox (28)*
2. 20 Days in Mariupol (14)
3. Menus-Plasiris — Les Troisgois (8)
3. Four Daughters (8)
5. American Symphony (5)
6. Kokomo City (4)
7. Bad Press (3)
8. Smoke Sauana Sisterhood (2)
9. Geographies of Solitude (1)
9. The Eternal Memory (1)
9. The Deepest Breath (1)
9. Anselm (1)
9. Stamped From the Begining (1)
9. Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour (1)
9. The Mother of All Lies (1)
Sound Design
1. Richard King, Oppenheimer (21)*
2. Johnnie Burn, The Zone of Interest (9)
3. Oriol Tarrago, Society of the Snow (6)
3. Geoffrey G. Rubay, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (6_
5. Steve Morrow, Maestro (3)
6. Callum Mitchell, Enys Men (1)
6. Xabier Erikzia, Samsara (1)
Costume Design
1. Holly Waddington, Poor Things (16)
2. Jacqueline Durran, Barbie (15)
3. David Crossman, Nancy Yates, Napoleon (3)
4. Beki Ebisuwa, Femme (1)
4. Tony Lamberti, Ferrari (1)
Makeup & Hair
1.Ivana Primorac, Barbie (13)
1. Nadia Stacey, Poor Things (13)
3. Kazu Hiro, Stan Grigg, Maestro (9)
4. Sian Miller, Laura Allen, Saltburn (6)
5. Kerri Watters, Femme (1)
Visual Effects (VFX)
1. Oppenheimer (9)
2. Poor Things (9)
2. Godzilla: Minus One (9)
3. The Creator (6)
4. Spider-Man: Across The Spider-Verse (4)
5. Mission Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One (3)
5. The Kitchen (1)
Added Award shows:
| British Society of Cinematographers (BSC) (6) |
| London Film Critics Circle (LFCC) (1) |
| Minnesota Film Critics Alliance (MNFCA) (1) |
| Australian Academy of Cinema & Television Arts (AACTA) (1) |
| Art Directors Guild (ADG) (6) |
| Directors Guild of America (DGA) (6) |
| International Cinephile Society (ICS) (1) |
| Vancouver Film Critics Circle (VFCC)(1) |
| Latino Entertainment Journalist Association (LEJA)(1) |
| Set Decorators Society of America (6) |
| Society of Composers and Lyricists (SCL) (6) |
| Annie Awards (6) |
| British Academy Film Awards (BAFTA) (8) |
| Makeup Artist & Hair Stylist (MUAHS)(6) |
| Costume Designers Guild (CDG)(6) |
| Visual Effects Society (VES) (6) |
| Screen Actors Guild (SAG) (6) |
| Independent Film Spirit Awards (SPIRIT) (5) |
| Producers Guild of America (PGA) (8) |
| Dorian Awards (GALECA) (1) |
| Cinema Audio Society (CAS) (6) |
| USC Scripter (USC) (6) |
| Online Film & Television Assocation (OFTA)(1) |
| American Cinema Editors (ACE) (6) |
| Motion Picture Sound Editors (MPSE) (6) |
| American Society of Cinematographers (ASC) (6) |
| Satellite Award (IPA) (3) |
Award point totals will be updated every Sunday at 12pm PST
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